Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
WOL
2 - 0
NEW
80%
11%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
4 - 3
NEW
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
EVE
6 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
68%
17%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
EVE
0 - 1
WHU
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
LEE
3 - 3
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |