Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
SHE
3 - 1
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
NEW
0 - 4
HUR
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 1
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
LEI
0 - 3
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 0
BPO
79%
12%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
EVE
3 - 1
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |