Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1930 |
HUL
1 - 0
NEW
30%
24%
45%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
HUL
86%
9%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 5
SHE
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 4
ASV
51%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 2
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
MID
1 - 2
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
ARS
4 - 0
EVE
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 2
EVE
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |