Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
BOL
3 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 1
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 0
WHU
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
BBU
3 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 2
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |