Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
WBA
0 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 2
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 1
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 1
WHU
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
WHU
2 - 1
EVE
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |