Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 2
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 0
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
0 - 0
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |