Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
WBA
0 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
WBA
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
DER
1 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
EVE
1 - 1
BRA
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 3
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
EVE
0 - 1
PNE
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
PNE
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |