Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 1
OLD
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
SHW
1 - 0
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |