Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
BBU
3 - 0
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1913 |
SHW
1 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1913 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
EVE
3 - 1
SHW
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
WBA
0 - 0
EVE
50%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1913 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |