Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
3 - 3
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
8 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
BBU
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 3
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |