Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-1
Newcastle vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
1 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
1 - 0
STJ
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
1 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
5 - 2
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
GRE
6 - 0
DUN
49%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |