Newcastle vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1988 |
NEW
2 - 2
SHW
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
NTT
0 - 2
NEW
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
WHU
2 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1988 |
LEI
4 - 4
CRY
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
CRY
3 - 2
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
CRY
2 - 3
REA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
IPS
2 - 3
CRY
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
HUL
2 - 1
CRY
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |