Newcastle vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1973 |
IPS
1 - 0
NEW
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEI
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
NEW
4 - 1
SHE
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1972 |
LEE
1 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1972 |
CRY
3 - 0
SOU
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
LEI
2 - 1
CRY
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
CRY
5 - 0
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
IPS
2 - 1
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |