Newcastle vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1977 |
STO
0 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
NEW
5 - 1
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 1
IPS
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
LIV
1 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
LEI
3 - 1
COV
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1977 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 1
COV
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1977 |
NOR
3 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1977 |
STO
2 - 0
COV
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |