Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1987 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
OXF
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
4 - 1
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
CHL
1 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
QPR
1 - 1
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
WAT
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHL
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
CHL
1 - 2
EVE
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |