Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 1
WAT
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
OXF
3 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
0 - 3
NTT
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
CHL
4 - 2
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
FUL
0 - 1
CHL
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
IPS
0 - 2
CHL
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1985 |
CHL
1 - 1
FUL
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |