Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
SHW
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 1
WHU
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
NEW
3 - 4
MAC
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
MUD
6 - 0
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
CHL
3 - 1
WBA
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
SHE
1 - 2
CHL
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
WOL
3 - 0
CHL
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 0
WOL
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |