Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
NEW
5 - 1
WBA
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 1
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 2
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
BPO
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 4
OPA
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |