Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEI
68%
17%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 3
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 1
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
CHL
3 - 1
WOL
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
SHE
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
BBU
1 - 3
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 2
LIV
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |