Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
BIR
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BIR
4 - 1
NEW
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
WBA
0 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 0
WBA
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |