Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 0
NEW
46%
28%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
NTT
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 0
NEW
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
CHL
0 - 0
LIV
40%
29%
32%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |