Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
NEW
6 - 3
MUD
52%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
TOT
2 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 2
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |