Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
WBA
3 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 2
WBA
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 3
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |