Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 0
PNE
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
BUR
6 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 2
CHL
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 1
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |