Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
63%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
4 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
78%
13%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |