Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 3
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
SHE
4 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
LIV
6 - 5
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
BCF
4 - 2
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRI
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |