Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
SUN
3 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 2
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 0
MID
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1909 |
SHW
5 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |