Newcastle vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
SHW
3 - 1
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
BOL
4 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHE
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 4
SHE
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
CHL
4 - 1
GAI
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
LEY
0 - 1
CHL
9%
17%
74%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
CHL
4 - 0
WOL
75%
14%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
CHL
7 - 1
CHE
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |