FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Newcastle vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 1
NEW
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
NEW
3 - 0
LEE
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
NEW
7 - 1
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
BBU
1 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
REA
2 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 1
NEW
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 1
IPS
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 0
WOL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |