Newcastle vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 0
WOL
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 0
NEW
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
CHA
2 - 1
FUL
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 2
OPA
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 2
WBA
64%
19%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |