Newcastle vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
CHA
0 - 1
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 2
CHA
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
PNE
2 - 3
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
CHA
0 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |