Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
SHE
3 - 1
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
NEW
0 - 2
HUR
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 2
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
CAR
5 - 0
CHA
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 0
TOT
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 2
CAR
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |