Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1928 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHU
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
1 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 2
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
BCF
3 - 0
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 1
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARS
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |