Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 0
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
NEW
0 - 2
HUR
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1926 |
SUN
1 - 3
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
LEI
1 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASV
48%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |