Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
32%
32%
36%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 2
BCF
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
NOT
3 - 0
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
CAR
1 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 1
WBA
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |