Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
OLD
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1922 |
BBU
0 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
CAR
4 - 2
BUR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
SHE
0 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |