Newcastle vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 0
OPA
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
ROT
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 5
CAM
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
EXE
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |