Newcastle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
NEW
7 - 5
ASV
64%
19%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
SHW
0 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 2
BOL
59%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BBU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
BCF
4 - 2
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 1
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
MID
6 - 1
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
BCF
2 - 3
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |