Newcastle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
WBA
4 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BBU
1 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
NEW
7 - 3
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
LIV
1 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
2 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 2
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |