Newcastle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
NEW
0 - 2
HUR
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
SUN
2 - 2
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1926 |
LEI
3 - 2
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
LEY
2 - 0
NEW
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 2
LEE
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
BCF
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
BCF
3 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1926 |
BCF
2 - 0
WBA
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
TOT
4 - 2
BCF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |