Newcastle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
PNE
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
4 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
LEI
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 0
BCF
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 2
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |