Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
4 - 1
LIV
39%
30%
31%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
LUT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 1
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 5
TOT
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
2 - 0
LEI
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 1
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUT
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
QPR
0 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUM
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |