Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
STO
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEI
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
STO
4 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
3 - 3
BUR
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
LEE
1 - 4
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 0
WRE
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |