Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
NEW
0 - 0
IPS
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
SOU
2 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
PEC
2 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
NTT
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 3
HUR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
TOT
4 - 0
BUR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
CRY
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
SOU
2 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |