Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
STO
4 - 0
NEW
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1965 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1965 |
BUR
4 - 1
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
58%
21%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1965 |
BPO
1 - 3
BUR
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |