Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
CHL
3 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
BUR
0 - 1
HUR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
MID
3 - 3
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |