Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
NEW
3 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
BUR
4 - 3
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
BUR
4 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
TOT
0 - 2
BUR
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
6 - 1
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
2 - 2
BCF
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |