Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
SHE
2 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 3
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
5 - 3
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
PNE
0 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 0
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |