EFL Cup 1/32
Global 8-1
Newcastle vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
2.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
EVE
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 5
NEW
9%
20%
71%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 0
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
WYC
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
NOT
2 - 2
BRI
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 5
NEW
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRI
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
BRI
0 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |