Newcastle vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHW
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 3
SHE
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 2
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 2
ARS
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 3
BRI
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |